FOREX
Germany October ZEW survey current conditions -35.9 vs -45.0 expected
Germany October ZEW survey current conditions -35.9 vs -45.0 expectedPrior -47.1Germany October ZEW survey economic sentiment 28.1 vs 30.0 expectedPrior 34.7The breakdownIt's a mixed showing as the current conditions index shows a marked improvement but the expectations/outlook index falls further in October. The latter is the softest reading since July and marks a turn in optimism towards the ...
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499 ArticlesGerman producer prices hit highest since March 2023 as energy costs soar, fueling inflation worries
Germany September PPI +1.9% vs +1.5% m/m expectedPrior +1.1%Germany September PPI +6.7% vs +6.2% y/y expectedP...
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UK unemployment rate falls to 4.7% as jobs rebound, keeping BOE rate hike bets intact
UK August ILO unemployment rate 4.7% vs 5.0% expectedPrior 4.9%UK August employment change 102k vs 5k expected...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: China holds rates
Daiwa: BOJ shifts focus from reaching 2% inflation to keeping it there, wages hold the keyMUFG says firmer Chi...
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USDJPY buyers land the punches, but sellers are still standing
Sellers have repeatedly defended the ceilingThe USDJPY technical story since September 23 has centered on two...
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NZDUSD buyers build momentum as the recovery approaches its next resistance test
Buyers start to turn the technical picture aroundThe NZDUSD buyers have started to turn the shorter-term techn...
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Trump approval falls to record low. Poll shows Republicans losing badly in midterms
Republicans are running out of time to turn it around ahead of the November 3 midterm elections.Trump is incre...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: AI trades rebound but so does oil
Canada September CPI 3.1% y/y vs 3.2% expectedUS NAHB housing market index 29 vs 31 priorBank of Canada Q3 bus...
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USDCAD bounces after softer CPI data but they have work to do.
Canada’s September CPI report gave traders a little something on both sides of the inflation debate.Headline...
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US NAHB housing market index 29 vs 31 prior
Priorw as 32Current sales 33 vs 35 priorSales over the next six months 32 vs 37 priorProspective buyers 18 vs...
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Bank of Canada Q3 business outlook survey -0.33 vs -0.38 prior
BOS indicator -0.33 vs -0.38 in Q2 (revised from -0.39)Future sales balance of opinion +42 vs +15 in Q218% of...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed as US–Iran hopes weigh on oil; Nasdaq futures rise
The new trading week begins with a mixed US dollar, lower Treasury yields and oil, and a split in US stock-ind...
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A breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations is expected to be announced this week, according to Al-Arabiya
Al-Arabiya is saying that a breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations is expected to be announced this week as nego...
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investingLive European session wrap: French unrest weighs on the euro as Wall Street looks to bounce back
Headlines:US futures look to rebound after tech rout but the real test is still aheadEuropean stock market ope...
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Canada September CPI 3.1% y/y vs 3.2% expected
Prior was 3.0%CPI +0.1% m/m vs +0.2% expectedBOC core 2.2% y/y vs 2.4% priorBOC core 0.0% m/m vs +0.1% priorCP...
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Chart of the day: France's bond market is flashing another warning for EUR/USD
It's a brand new week, but same old problem for the euro. Once again, it is France that is giving the single c...
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Economic data spotlight: UK inflation set to climb as BOE rate hike and autumn budget collide
There's going to be plenty of watchful eyes on the UK CPI report this Wednesday, not least with the autumn bud...
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China Q3 GDP beats estimates, as does September retail sales
Retail Sales (YoY) 1.1%expected 0.5%, prior 0.4%Industrial Production (YoY) 5.5%expected 5.4%, prior 5.2%Fixed...
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China moves to prop up stocks with selling curbs, buybacks after 10% slide this year
State buying and selling curbs typically put a floor under Chinese equities in the short term, so near-term do...
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China Q3 GDP beats forecasts at 4.5%, retail sales grow at fastest pace since March
A modest beat across the board supports the Australian and New Zealand dollars and broader Asian risk sentimen...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: China beats, the euro wobbles and oil dips
Summary:The euro opened lower on escalating riots in France, drone incidents over the Black Sea and US warning...
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Only a third of the US data centre pipeline looks credible as AI financing strains build
The repricing so far is selective rather than AI-wide: the heaviest pressure falls on companies that need outs...
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China home price declines ease in September, ahead of Q3 GDP seen at 4.4%
Smaller price declines are mildly encouraging for Chinese property developers and for sentiment toward the yua...
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Romanian F-16s shoot down two drones over Black Sea, NATO council to meet Tuesday
The euro is lower in early Asia-Pacific trade, though liquidity is very thin with New Zealand effectively the...
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US threatens EU with devastating retaliation if Brussels curbs Starlink spectrum access
The warning adds a fresh transatlantic trade risk to a market that had largely treated EU digital regulation a...
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New Zealand services sector grows for four months straight as PSI holds at 50.9
A reading barely above 50 does little to shift the outlook for the New Zealand dollar, which takes its lead fr...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia - China data the focus
Data from China the focus on the ecnomic info agenda. I'll get a preview posted separately. ...
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China data preview: industry holds up, consumers and property lag ahead of Q3 GDP
For oil, China’s position as the largest crude importer makes this release a demand signal at a sensitive mo...
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New Zealand trade deficit widens to nearly NZ$2 billion, more than double forecasts
A wider trade gap is a modest negative for the New Zealand dollar at the margin, since a larger external defic...
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S&P 500 analysis and forecast after the "AI bubble" panic
S&P 500 forecast after the AI bubble panic: Why Friday's selloff is not yet a major bearish reversalFriday's s...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Nasdaq sinks and oil jumps
BOJ’s Ueda: We will continue to raise rates as underlying inflation approaches 2%US September import price i...
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US fiscal 2026 budget deficit was the largest in five years
September 2025 was a $198B surplusOutlays $585B vs $346B a year agoReceipts $558B vs $544B a year agoFY2026 de...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar falls despite hot inflation. USDJPY slips below key moving averages
The US dollar continues its move to the downside today despite the hotter US CPI and PPI reports this week. Tr...
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USDCAD is lower on the day, but getting a modest lift after another higher inflation reading
The USDCAD has seen plenty of up-and-down price action this week, but one message has been consistent: buyers...
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US September import price index +1.1% vs +0.8% expected
Prior was +0.7% m/m (revised to +0.5%)Export prices +2.2% vs +1.0% expectedPrior export prices were +0.6% (rev...
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US September industrial production +0.7% vs +0.4% expected
Prior was 0.0% (revised to +0.1%)Capacity utilization 76.9% vs 76.5% expManufacturing output +0.3% vs +0.3% ex...
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investingLive European session wrap: Dollar slips as stocks steady and yields edge a little higher
Headlines:Gold shrugs off hot inflation data as market focus may be shifting to growth concernsHow have intere...
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Chart of the day: 10-year Treasury yields hit reverse this week but the real test is still ahead
Seeing as to how the bond market is faring to end the week, you probably wouldn't have guessed that we actuall...
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Eurozone September final CPI +3.8% vs +3.8% y/y prelim
Eurozone September final CPI +3.8% vs +3.8% y/y prelimPrior +3.2%Eurozone September final core CPI +2.5% vs +2...
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Market playbook: Is the bond market starting to worry more about US growth than inflation?
There's something that is not quite adding up in trading this week. We've had two hotter-than-expected US infl...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Warsh stays silent on rates,
Warsh won’t prejudge rest of 2026, names October and December as decision pointsTesla unveils thruster-power...
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New Zealand manufacturing PMI jumps to 56.5, 15th straight month of expansion
The stronger reading is mildly supportive for the New Zealand dollar, adding to evidence that the goods side o...
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New Zealand card spending falls for second month as food prices hold flat in September
The data adds to a mixed picture for the New Zealand dollar, with weak household spending offsetting the stron...
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USDCHF backs away from key daily resistance. Sellers push toward an important hourly floor.
The USDCHF moved to a new high yesterday going back to May 2025, but the buyers ran into a key technical targe...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Yields continue to fall even after hot PPI data
US September PPI 6.3% vs 5.3% expectedUS October Philly Fed business index +20.9 vs +28.4 expectedUS October E...
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AUDUSD sellers take control as economic data push the pair down over 1%. What levels matter next?
Australia’s September jobs report was weaker than expected, giving the RBA more room to remain patient. For...
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USDCAD sellers make a break for it and fail. What next technically?
The USDCAD has been on a rollercoaster rid of the last few days (see chart below). A day after testing its...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar retreats as yields fall, Nasdaq remains under pressure
The U.S. dollar is lower against most of the major currencies, with the Swiss franc leading the gains. The Aus...
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US October Philly Fed business index +20.9 vs +28.4 expected
Prior was +37.8Details:New orders 4.3 versus 29.2 last monthShipments 15.3 versus 27.7 last monthUnfilled orde...
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US October Empire Manufacturing index +25.50 vs +10.25 expected
Prior was +7.60Manufacturing activity in New York State expanded in October, with the Empire State Manufacturi...
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US September PPI 6.3% vs 5.3% expected
Prior was 5.4%PPI final demand m/m vs +0.5% expectedPrior m/m +0.4%Ex-food and energy y/y vs+4.4% expectedP...
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US retails sales for September 0.8% MoM vs 0.3% estimate. Prior month 1.3%
Prior 1.3%DetailsRetail sales MoM: +0.8% vs +0.3% expected. Prior revised to +1.2% from +1.1%.Retail sales exc...
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Canada August manufacturing sales +1.5% vs +1.1% expected
Prior was -0.4% (revised to -0.3%)Wholesale trade -1.6% vs -1.5% expectedPrior trade +0.3% (revised to +0.4%)S...
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US initial jobless claim 199K vs 200K estimate
Initial jobless claims: 199,000, up 1,000. Prior revised to 198,000 from 197,000.Initial claims four-week aver...
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US August business inventories +0.4% vs +0.4% expected
Prior was +0.8%Retail inventories ex-autos vs +0.8% priorFor background, the US business inventories report, f...
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investingLive European news wrap: Markets consolidate after the US CPI shock
Headlines:Ethereum extends losses after the US CPI as risk sentiment deteriorates further. What's next?Why do...
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France inflation rises sharply in September as price pressures add to ECB rate hike dilemma
France September final CPI +3.1% vs +3.0% y/y prelimPrior +2.4%France September final HICP +3.4% vs +3.4% y/y...
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US inflation worries aren't over yet as PPI and retail sales pose fresh risks for markets
The hotter-than-expected US CPI report yesterday was already enough to give markets a bit of a headache. And d...
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Chart of the day: Gold rebounds as dollar and yields fall, but $4,200 remains a major hurdle
Gold took a knock after the hotter-than-expected US CPI report, with the precious metal briefly dipping back b...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Treasury rally sinks dollar, lifts gold
RBNZ’s Conway says October rate decision completely open, OCR more likely to riseAUD lower: Australian jobs...
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Australian jobs data due imminently - previews
Data due at the bottom of the hour, 0030 GMT / 2030 US Eastern time:unemployment seen at 4.6%Australia jobs pr...
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Australian September 2026 unemployment rate 4.7% (expected 4.6%, prior 4.7%)
Australian employment market data for September 2026.Employment Change -39.3Kexpected 20.0K, prior 39.5K Unem...
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Talk grows that China is routing US Treasury holdings through Canada: Bloomberg
If China’s holdings are more stable than reported, one of the market’s recurring worries, a steady Chinese...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Hot CPI upends markets
US September CPI 3.7% vs 3.6% expectedCanada August building permits rise 8.8% vs 2.0% expectedFed's Beige Boo...
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Australia jobs preview: NAB sees 20,000 gain, unemployment steady at 4.6%
With NAB, Westpac and consensus all at 20,000 and three major banks seeing unemployment at 4.6%, the bar for a...
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Morning Kickstart: US CPI ahead as dollar trades mixed and oil climbs
It is CPI day, and the next shove for the dollar, Treasury yields and stocks could arrive at 8:30 AM ET.In the...
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S&P 500 technical analysis after the CPI selloff
S&P 500 futures: CPI selloff threatens the recovery channel, with a lower support test in viewS&P 500 E-mini f...
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What are the key levels in play for the US dollar after the hotter than expected CPI
The US CPI came in higher than expectations and that has stocks lower, yields higher, and the dollar moving t...
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US September CPI 3.7% vs 3.6% expected
Prior was 3.4%Unrounded +3.738% vs +3.397% priorCPI m/m +0.6% vs +0.6 expPrior CPI was +0.4%Core readings:Co...
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Canada August building permits rise 8.8% vs 2.0% expected
Building permits: +8.8% MoM vs +2.0% expected. Prior revised to -15.8% from -17.3%.Total permit value: $13.6 b...
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Nasdaq analysis today as price is dancing around yesterday's close (but probably not for long)
Nasdaq futures outlook today: Is the market building a bottom, or preparing for another leg lower?October 14,...
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China's September lending surprise masks a much deeper slump in credit demand
China's new bank loans climbed to ¥1.08 trillion in September, beating market expectations of ¥975 billion...
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investingLive European news wrap: Markets trim gains as oil prices rise ahead of US CPI
Headlines:Bitcoin consolidates in a tight range ahead of the US CPI. What to watch next?Nasdaq analysis today...
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Chart of the day: Gold price faces crucial $4,200 breakout test as US CPI looms
The $4,200 mark has been a key battleground for gold in the past two weeks, and it could once again be part of...
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German wholesale prices continue to push higher in September, keeping inflation risks in focus
Germany September wholesale prices +1.9% m/mPrior +0.9%Germany September wholesale prices +8.7% y/yPrior +6.8%...
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Spain September CPI confirmed at 4.9% as rising core inflation adds to ECB rate hike pressure
Spain September final CPI +4.9% vs +4.9% y/y prelimPrior +4.3%Spain September final HICP +5.0% vs +5.0% y/y pr...
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China factory inflation hits 5%, fastest in over four years, as CPI lags at 0.9%
The gap between surging factory prices and subdued consumer inflation points to an oil-driven cost shock, not...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: dollar softer ahead of US CPI
China factory inflation hits 5%, fastest in over four years, as CPI lags at 0.9%Lagarde: no second-round effec...
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Economic data spotlight: Will the US CPI report change the Fed's rate hike plans?
There's a lot riding on the US CPI report later today, especially with Treasury yields having threatened multi...
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China September CPI 0.9% y/y (expected 1%, prior 0.8%)
Producer Price Index (YoY) 5%expected 4.5%, prior 3.8%PPI +1.2% m/m (prior 0.4%) Consumer Price Index (MoM) 0...
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US CPI preview: 14 investment bank forecasters see energy lifting headline to 3.6%, core held near 0.2%
The headline jump is largely priced in, so the market reaction will hinge on core. A print at the top of the f...
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US CPI: Energy prices expected to lift headline inflation. Will core stay contained?
The US CPI report for September will be released tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET. The report - along with the PPI on Th...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, October 14, 2026 - China inflation data
China releases consumer and producer price data for September at 0130 GMT on Wednesday, which is 9:30 pm US Ea...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 13 Oct: Dollar retreats as traders await CPI; oil rises and stocks slip
Tomorrow’s U.S. CPI report is the next big test for the markets. Will inflation remain concentrated in energ...
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USDCAD sellers regain control, but key swing support stands in the way
The USDCAD extended to a new high for the year on Friday following the weaker-than-expected Canadian jobs repo...
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Watch the Morning Kickstart video for a technical look at EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD.
The U.S. dollar is lower after yesterday’s rise, with Treasury yields easing as the U.S. bond market returns...
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USDCHF ping-pong's between support and resistance targets
The USDCHF has been playing ping-pong between support and resistance over the last six trading days, confined...
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US existing home sales for September 3.99 million versus 3.95 million estimate
Prior month 3.98 millionDetails for September Existing home sales annualized sales rate of 3.99 million versu...
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Chart of the day: EUR/CHF bounces this week but French bond spreads warn euro risks aren't over
The euro appears to be catching a bit of a break against the franc this week, though I'm not entirely convince...
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Long global semiconductors remains the most crowded trade followed by short US Treasuries, according to Bank of America
The latest Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey showed investors have become less optimistic about the m...
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investingLive European news wrap: Risk sentiment improves as oil prices ease
Headlines:Solana underperforms as US spot Solana ETFs record net outflows, ending a 14-week inflow streakLong...
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Germany September final CPI +3.3% vs +3.3% y/y prelim
German September final CPI +3.3% vs +3.3% y/y prelimPrior +2.9%Germany September final HICP +3.3% vs +3.3% y/y...
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Australian business confidence slides to -13 as oil shock and rate hikes bite, NAB says
Oil is the main pressure point: volatility tied to Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and the broader Iran conflic...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Asian equities sold heavily, Kospi down 7%
BoE’s Greene warns waiting for second-round inflation effects would be too lateGoldman sees Europe reserve r...
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IMF’s Georgieva calls AI a slow-moving tsunami (again) for jobs as graduates feel the first hit
Georgieva’s framing of AI as both a demand and an investment shock lines up with this week’s hawkish Fed c...
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Japan wholesale inflation misses at 6.8% but stays high enough to keep BOJ hike alive
The miss trims some urgency from the hike narrative, but an annual pace near 7% and surging import costs leave...
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Just 32 countries now drive 95% of global growth as AI widens the gap, IMF warns
Oil is the pivot of the whole outlook: the IMF’s base case assumes the Strait of Hormuz reopens in March 202...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Tuesday, October 13, 2026 - RBA minutes due
Two releases this week will shape expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next move: the minutes of...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 12 Oct: USD climbs, EURUSD hits a 2026 low as oil rises and stocks finish mixed
US stocks close mixedEarnings calendar October 12–16: Big banks, ASML and TSMC take center stageHammack de l...
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UK retail sales beat forecasts but fuel bill jump of 17% shows squeeze on shoppers
The data offer little to change the picture for sterling or gilts on their own, but the mix carries a stagflat...
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EURUSD dips to a new low going back to May 2025
The EURUSD has extended below last week’s low of 1.11603, reaching 1.1155 today—its lowest level since May...
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NZDUSD sellers press toward key lows. Can they break through?
The NZDUSD is one of the biggest movers in trading today, with dollar strength and NZD weakness keeping the se...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar higher, oil rebounds as holiday trading begins
In the Morning Kickstart video above, I take a technical look at EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. For each pair, I o...
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investingLive European session wrap: Oil rebounds, dollar firms as US bond market holiday keeps traders cautious
Markets:WTI crude +1.4% to $92.99USD leads, CHF lags on the dayGold down 0.5% to $4,170European equities highe...
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Chart of the day: Gold price eyes $4,200 breakout, but buyers still face two major hurdles
Gold buyers are making another attempt to decisively get above the $4,200 level to start the new week. The pre...
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Heads up: US bond market closed Monday but stocks remain open as liquidity risks loom
Just a heads up as we get into the new week that today is a US market holiday in observance of Columbus Day. W...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Gulf strikes, truce doubts,
Preview: TSMC tipped for sixth straight record quarter, with profit seen up 65% on AI demandEarly Ethereum Fou...
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Preview: RBA minutes and jobs data headline Australia’s week ahead, with unemployment seen at 4.6%
For the Australian dollar and front-end rates, the minutes carry more weight than usual because Bullock’s po...
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Weeeknd: EU plans 350,000 annual cap on Chinese hybrids after Beijing agrees 16-point deal
For European carmakers, a hybrid quota offers some relief from lower-priced Chinese competition at a time when...
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MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike
MUFG’s framing underlines that energy is almost the entire story behind rising US headline inflation since t...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 9 Oct: It’s a Wrap: Stocks rebound despite weak sentiment; Canadian dollar falls on jobs miss
US stocks close higher; Nasdaq gains for fourth straight weekWeek ahead: US inflation and retail sales lead a...
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Week ahead: US inflation and retail sales lead a busy economic calendar. Be aware.
Next week starts quietly, but it does not stay that way.The economic calendar gets going on Wednesday with the...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed, stocks rebound and oil retreats amid Iran uncertainty
In the morning video above, I take a look at the three major currency pairs—EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD—from...
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USDCAD jumps on weak Canada jobs report, but fails to hold above key resistance
Canada’s September employment report was weaker than expected, with employment falling 68,300 versus expecta...
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USDCHF is stuck in 50 pip trading range since midday Monday. What does that say to you?
The USDCHF has been trading in a range of only about 50 pips since midday Monday.What does that tell me?The ma...
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Bessent hires former Fed board nominee and investingLive reader, Judy Shelton as adviser
In financial markets, credibility is built through the quality of the information you deliver, the analysis yo...
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US October UMich prelim consumer sentiment 46.3 vs 47.8 expected
Prior was 48.1Current conditions 44.7 vs 51.0 expExpectations 47.3 vs 45.5 expOne-year inflation 4.7% vs 4...
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investingLive European session wrap: Stocks rebound as bond market nerves ease, for now
Headlines:Oil prices ease as traders unwind the escalation risk premium after Trump rules out strikes on IranG...
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Economic data spotlight: US inflation expectations in focus in today's Michigan consumer survey
Coming up later today, we'll have the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey at 1400 GMT. And while...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil eases on Trump’s Iran pledge
US refiners set for windfall Q3 profits as wars push diesel margins to recordsGold rises toward $4,180 as Trea...
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Is AI giving the US economy a case of Dutch disease? From Dutch gas to American chips.
If the argument holds, the AI build-out is a source of upward pressure on bond yields, power prices and wages...
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Japan household spending falls for ninth straight month, but drop smaller than expected
The mixed readings are unlikely to shift Bank of Japan rate expectations decisively in either direction, limit...
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Oracle trucks in natural gas to keep AI data centres on schedule as pipelines lag
The circa 5.5% drop in Oracle shares shows investors are sensitive to any sign that power constraints could de...
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Japan reboots DOGE-style spending review to fund Takaichi pledges as JGB yields climb
The review is aimed as much at bond investors as at the budget, since concern over how Takaichi’s pledges wi...
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It's a very sparse economic and event calendar in Asia, Friday, October 9, 2026
This is unlikely to garnetr much attention:
This article was written by Eamonn She...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Trump says no attacks on Iran before the midterms
Trump says: We will not be attacking Iran any time soonAtlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 tracker 3.6% vs 3.7% priorUS Augu...
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Capitalist conditions have weakened worldwide since 2009, University of Virginia index shows
The index is not a market mover, but it supports the case that wealth flows toward jurisdictions with strong p...
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USDCAD sellers secure some short term victories as price tests the 200-hour moving average
The USDCAD sellers are scoring some short-term victories.First, the price stalled against a topside trendline...
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 tracker 3.6% vs 3.7% prior
Prior was 3.7%This isn't a surprise after the downgrade to the wholesale inventories data released earlier tod...
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Arab sources: Several severe explosions have occurred in the Strait of Hormuz
According to Arab sources (unverified) there have been several severe explosions in the Strait of Hormuz.A tan...
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US treasury sells $22 billion of 30 year bonds at a high yield of 5.618%
High yield: 5.618%WI level at the time of the auction: 5.617%Tail: 0.1 basis point vs the average of -0.1 basi...
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Morning Kickstart: Stocks fall as oil and yields rise; USD edges higher
In the morning Kickstart video above, I take a look at the three major currency pairs—EURUSD, USDJPY and GBP...
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US initial jobless claims for the week is modestly stronger at 197K vs 200K est.
Prior week 197KInitial claims: 197,000 vs 200,000 expected. Prior revised to 199,000 from 197,000.Initial clai...
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US August wholesale inventories +0.5% vs +0.7% expected
Prior was +1.3%Wholesale sales +1.8% vs +0.8% priorInventory to sales ratio 1.18 months vs 1.19 months priorTh...
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S&P 500 outlook: Short-term weakness grows, but the broader bull market holds
S&P 500 futures have weakened after reaching fresh highs near 7,900, with sellers gaining control of the short...
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The big picture: The era of cheap money is over and investors must adapt
...
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investingLive European session wrap: Yields continue to soar as oil surges and stocks tumble
Markets:10-year Treasury yields up 6 bps to 5.345%WTI crude up 4.1% to $92.60USD leads, AUD lags on the dayGol...
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Chart of the day: EUR/GBP breakdown adds to signs of euro weakness amid France's fiscal troubles
With long-end Treasury yields surging to multi-decade highs, it is easy to pin much of the recent struggles in...
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Ethereum sinks by 6% in just a day as increasingly negative macro backdrop and key technical break triggers liquidation
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Ethereum came
under heavy selling pressure yesterday, falling around 5–6%. The...
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China bucks global bond rout as 10-year yield touches 1.7%
A gap of more than 3.5 percentage points between Chinese and US 10-year yields keeps downward pressure on the...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil climbs on three Middle East risks
Samsung profit tops 100 trillion won for first time, but shares slipGold rebounds from two-month low, but Pepp...
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Reuters poll: 37% of Japan firms see oil volatility as biggest risk to earnings
The survey reinforces Japan's acute sensitivity to the Iran war: with almost all crude imports sourced from th...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Thursday, October 8, 2026 - Chinese markets reopen
The biggest news ahead of the session here today is that mainland Chinese markets reopen after a week long hol...
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The USDCAD buyers survive the correction by bouncing off the 200 hour MA
The USDCAD has been on a steady climb since bottoming near 1.3759 on September 8. On Monday, that rally reache...
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USDCHF shows signs of life above its hourly moving averages. Can buyers build momentum?
There is some life in the USDCHF, but it is still in intensive care. Buyers have pushed the price above the 10...
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The US treasury sells $39 billion of 10 year notes at a high yield of 5.300% versus WI level of 5.317%
The U.S. Treasury thousand $39 billion of 10 year notes:WI level at the time of the auction: 5.317%High yield:...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Fed officials prepared to hike again this year
FOMC Minutes: Most participants assessed another hike would likely be appropriate by year endThe US treasury s...
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The USD is mostly higher. What are the technicals telling traders for the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD?
In the video above, I take a look at the three major currency pairs—EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD—from a techn...
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New York Fed inflation expectations: One year inflation expectations hit the highest since 2023
The New York Fed survey of consumer expectationsOne year inflation 3.9% vs 3.6% priorThree year inflation 3.3...
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Treasury yields continue to break higher as 30-year hits 5.70%, putting markets on edge
It's a brand new week but the bond market is still not giving broader markets much room to breathe.Treasury yi...
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investingLive European session wrap: Treasury yields surge, stocks slide as risk mood sours
Headlines:Treasury yields continue to break higher as 30-year hits 5.70%, putting markets on edgeCrude oil reb...
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Chart of the day: EUR/CHF is becoming a pressure gauge for Europe’s fiscal risks
There are plenty of ways to track the latest concerns around France and Europe, and we've already talked about...
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Trump’s tariffs were meant to shrink the US trade deficit but imports just hit a record high
If tariffs were supposed to bring down the US trade deficit, then the latest numbers clearly show that things...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Saudi-Houthi attacks and Gulf storm lift oil
Houthis claim strikes on three Saudi sites including Riyadh airport, unconfirmedHouseholds weather RBA hikes a...
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Economic data spotlight: US jobless claims to test whether weak payrolls are turning into layoffs
The softer US jobs report on Friday last week continues to paint a softer picture of the labour market, yet th...
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Households weather RBA hikes as debt-to-asset ratio hits 1997 low, Deutsche Bank says
Deutsche Bank's argument is hawkish at heart. If each hike does less damage to household cash flow than in the...
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Japan factory mood hits near five-year high as services sentiment drops six points
The split matters for the Bank of Japan. Strength in manufacturing supports the case that the economy can abso...
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Japan real wages rise for eighth straight month, backing case for BOJ hikes
The detail that matters most for the Bank of Japan is base pay. Regular wages holding steady near 4% points to...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, October 7, 2026 - ECB speaker
There isn't much on the economic and event agends during the Aisa-Pacific timezone to shift marekts around too...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 6 Oct: S&P/Nasdaq set records as oil rebounds and the U.S. trade deficit widens
Oil: Private survey of inventory shows a headline crude oil drawS&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 close...
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US treasury sells $58 billion of 3 year notes at a high yield of 4.932%
There is a little change in the market after the auction resultsThe first leg of the 3 coupon auctions this we...
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investingLive European news wrap: Risk sentiment improves as oil falls and bonds rise
Headlines:EUR/USD rebounds as French government takes steps to reduce deficit, narrowing OAT-Bund spreadEthere...
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Morning Kickstart: Stocks eye records as oil and Treasury yields fall
In the morning video above, I take a look at the three major currency pairs—EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD—from...
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Canada August trade balance $4.20 billion vs $1.55 billion expected
Prior was +0.77 billion (revised to 0.79 billion)Exports: +2.5% MoM. Prior -2.6%Imports: -2.0% MoM. Prior +8.3...
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US International Trade balance for August -105.6B vs -102.0B.
Prior month -92.8 billionDetails from the BEA:Goods and services deficit: $105.6 billion. Prior $92.8 billion,...
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Macro pulse: France-Germany yield spread breakout puts euro area contagion risk in focus
With all that is happening in markets, there are plenty of charts worth watching in Europe right now. However,...
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France is having its Liz Truss moment as the bond market forces a policy rethink. Why it's a good thing.
France's bond market recently sent a strong message to policymakers. The spread between French and German 10-...
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Chart of the day: Treasury yields push to multi-decade highs despite fading Fed hike bets
The bond market continues to remain a headache for investors, as long-end Treasury yields are threatening to b...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Solana launches open settlement standard for institutions, with JPMorgan inputICYMI: Citi raises bitcoin targe...
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Australian consumer sentiment slumps after RBA hike as Westpac tips another in November
Westpac's call for a November follow-up hike, despite the sentiment slump, signals that inflation risk still o...
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Chalmers warns rising global bond yields will pressure Australia's federal budget
The Treasurer's warning puts fiscal pressure alongside monetary tightening as a theme for Australian markets,...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 5 Oct: Nasdaq close at record as the dollar firms/yields higher
The Nasdaq composite and NASDAQ 100 leads US stocks higherBoJ's Ueda in focus as markets weigh a back-to-back...
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NZ business confidence jumps to a net 40% in September quarter despite oil price headwinds
Firms widely expect interest rates to rise over the coming year, and signs that spare capacity is shrinking wo...
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USDCHF rebounds into hourly moving average resistance. Can buyers take back control?
The USDCHF has rebounded after last week’s sharp correction, but the buyers still have work to do. The recov...
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The AUD is the lone wolf of the major currencies as it rallies versus the greenback.
The AUD is the lone wolf against the US dollar today, gaining ground while the other major currencies are lowe...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Tuesday, October 6, 2026
China remains on holiday. Mainland markets reopen on 8 October. During the Tokyo afternoon today we'll hear f...
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USDCAD stretched to targeted level and found willing sellers. Is this the start of a decline?
The USDCAD has been trending higher since bottoming in early September near 1.3750. Buyers have remained firml...
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S&P global composite PMI for September 58.4 versus 58.4 preliminary
S&P global composite Index for September 58.4 versus 50.4 preliminary. Last month 56.0Services PMI 58.8 versus...
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ISM non- manufacturing PMI 54.9 versus 55.2 estimate
Prior month nonmanufacturing services PMI 55.4Details from a ISMServices PMI: 54.9. Prior 55.4.September compo...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar firms, stock futures slip ahead of ISM services
The U.S. dollar is mostly higher to start the North American trading week, with gains against six of the seven...
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investingLive European session wrap: Dollar firms as yields stay elevated, French risks weigh on euro
Markets:10-year Treasury yields flat at 5.277%AUD leads, EUR and NZD lagGold up 0.3% to $4,153Brent crude up 0...
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Eurozone PMI confirms strongest growth in over three years as price pressures intensify
Eurozone September final services PMI 53.0 vs 53.0 prelimPrior 51.6Eurozone September final composite PMI 53.1...
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UK September final services PMI 52.1 vs 51.7 prelim
Prior 52.5Final Composite PMI 52.0 vs 51.7 prelimPrior 52.5Key findings:Service sector output rises for third...
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Eurozone Sentix confidence falls in October as recovery optimism starts to fade
Eurozone October Sentix investor confidence 2.7 vs 5.0 expectedPrior 5.1The mood among euro area investors has...
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Bond yields remain the market’s pressure point even after soft US jobs report
The softer US jobs report on Friday might have offered markets some much-needed relief before the weekend but...
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Eurozone September final services PMI 53.0 vs 53.0 prelim
Eurozone September final services PMI 53.0 vs 53.0 prelimPrior 51.6Eurozone September final composite PMI 53.1...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Dollar firms, oil edges lower
Japan officials toughen tone on yen as USD/JPY holds near 158Nikkei jumps 2.5% to three-month high as AI stock...
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ANZ commodity index rises 0.6% in September as oil surge lifts milk powder and aluminium
Oil is the main channel here. The surge in energy prices tied to the Middle East conflict lifted milk powder a...
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Japan services PMI eases to 51.3 as hiring picks up and price pressures stay intense
The survey leans hawkish for the BOJ despite softer headline growth. Output price inflation near record highs,...
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More: Russia says no lab pathogen found in plague institute death, 189 under observation
Markets are unlikely to react unless the situation escalates, as contacts have so far tested negative and offi...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Monday, October 5, 2026 - Australia holiday
A heads up for AUD traders, it's a Sydney holiday today. The Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) is open as normal...
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Uh-oh, "lab leak" news again ... Russian plague lab worker, 28, dies of unknown pneumonia
There's no direct market read-through yet, because officials describe the situation as stable and close contac...
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Australia services PMI growth slows to 51.9, job cuts return as price pressures build
The survey sends mixed signals for the Australian dollar and rates. Slower activity, job shedding and weaker c...
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Australia's Chalmers calls Iran war an economic disaster, says rising yields will cost billions
Chalmers's warning on debt servicing costs puts the spotlight on the global rise in bond yields, which is now...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 2 Oct: Nasdaq 100 closes at a record after soft US jobs; Treasury yields reverse higher
The US employment report gave stock buyers something to cheer about on Friday. Payroll growth missed expectati...
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Week ahead: ISM services, Fed minutes and Canadian jobs lead the economic calendar. Be aware.
The new trading week brings a lighter economic calendar, but there are still several events that can move curr...
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Crude oil breaks below support as stockpile release headlines pressure prices. Stocks like the news.
Oil prices have moved sharply lower after French President Emmanuel Macron said diesel and crude stocks would...
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NEC Director Kevin Hassett: US jobs report says the US consumer is very strong
White House NEC Director Kevin Hassett discussed the US jobs report and the administration’s economic outloo...
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US factory orders for the month of August 0.1% versus 0.1% estimate
Prior month factory orders 0.8% down from 0.9% previouslyFactory orders: +0.1% vs +0.1% expected. Prior +0.9%...
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North American Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed ahead of US jobs report as oil falls and futures rise
TGIF. It is US jobs day, and traders are heading into the North American session with a mixed dollar, modestly...
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Yields move lower. Stock futures point to a higher open. The USD falls after jobs report
The US economy added just 29,000 jobs in September, down from 133,000 in August (revised from 162K), as privat...
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Locked and loaded for the September non-farm payrolls report
It's the final countdown to the September non-farm payrolls report. Take a look at:Preview: September non-far...
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investingLive European session wrap: Stocks advance as bond yields ease ahead of NFP
Headlines:US jobs report faces a higher bar as bond market tensions raise the stakesWhat is the distribution o...
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US September non-farm payrolls +29K vs +90K expected
Prior was +162K (revised to +133K)Two-month net revision -60KUnemployment rate 4.2% vs 4.1% expectedPrior unem...
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Eurozone inflation jumps to 3.8% in September as energy prices surge
Eurozone September preliminary CPI +3.8% vs +3.6% y/y expectedPrior +3.2%Eurozone September preliminary core C...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Markets mark time before payrolls
SEC proposes letting investment advisers and funds self-custody Bitcoin and other cryptoDollar hits highest si...
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US jobs report faces a higher bar as bond market tensions raise the stakes
Welcome to another edition of NFP Friday. Typically, the US jobs report starts off with one question for marke...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: USD/JPY dips and then comes storming back
US September ISM manufacturing 54.5 vs 55.0 expectedCanada Sept S&P Global manufacturing PMI 51.5 vs 53.0 prio...
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Katayama eyes 7 trillion yen of idle funds as Kiuchi says Japan needs no excessive easing
Kiuchi's remarks reduce the risk of government pushback against further BOJ tightening, which is likely to be...
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Reminder: Hong Kong reopens as mainland China markets and Stock Connect stay shut until October 8
Hong Kong's stock market reopens on Friday, October 2, after closing on Thursday for National Day, but mainlan...
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Japan September Tokyo CPI data surges ahead of expectations and August
Just the data in this post. I'll have more to come on this separately, analysis and implications etc. Japan T...
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AUDUSD falls to lowest level since early July.
The AUDUSD has continued its trend move lower, with sellers taking the price from one swing area to the next....
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Tokyo CPI preview: core inflation seen jumping to 2.4% as BOJ weighs its next hike
A Tokyo core print at or above 2.4% would reinforce expectations of a follow-up BOJ hike and could support the...
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NZ consumer confidence slips to 97.6 as oil spike weighs, inflation expectations ease
The survey adds little to lift the New Zealand dollar, which has fallen to its lowest level in 11 months over...
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Preview: September non-farm payrolls by the numbers
What's expected:Consensus estimate +910K (range +35K to +180K)August +162KJuly +21KPrivate consensus estimate...
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USDJPY and USDCHF break lower as USDCAD tests trendline support
The USDJPY and USDCHF have seen a pocket of dollar weakness, with both pairs breaking below key hourly moving...
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US September ISM manufacturing 54.5 vs 55.0 expected
Prior reading was 54.6New orders 55.3 vs 53.7 priorEmployment 52.7 vs 51.2 priorPrices paid 77.9 vs 72.3 exp...
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US construction spending for the month of August 0.9% versus 0.0% expected
Construction spending: +0.9% MoM vs 0.0% expected. July revised to −0.1% from −0.5%.Annual spending rate:...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar hits three-month high as EURUSD breaks below 1.1300
he U.S. dollar is mostly higher to start the fourth quarter, with elevated Treasury yields continuing to suppo...
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Trump tells TIME the U.S. could resume or intensify attacks against Iran after the midterm elections
According to the interview with TIME, Trump initially expected the conflict to last only four to six weeks, bu...
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investingLive European session wrap: Dollar firms as Treasury yields threaten fresh 2002 highs
Headlines:Stocks feel the pinch as 10-year Treasury yields hit 5.33%, highest since 2002US dollar hits three-m...
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US weekly initial jobless claims 197K vs 200K expected
Prior was 197K (revised to 198K)Four-week moving average 200.0K vs 202.2K priorContinuing claims 1.701m vs 1.7...
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Canada Sept S&P Global manufacturing PMI 51.5 vs 53.0 prior
Prior was 53.0
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com....
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Eurozone manufacturing hits 52-month high as input and output prices accelerate
Eurozone September final manufacturing PMI 52.9 vs 52.7 prelimPrior 52.7The breakdownEurozone manufacturing en...
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UK September final manufacturing PMI 51.9 vs 52.0 preliminary
Prior 51.7Key findings:Growth rate of UK manufacturing output eases slightly in SeptemberOutput growth slows f...
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US layoffs ease in September, but weak hiring keeps NFP in focus
US-based employers announced 43,281 job cuts in September, down 18% from August and 20% from a year earlier. T...
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UK Nationwide house prices fall 0.2% in September as annual growth halves
UK September Nationwide house prices -0.2% vs 0.0% m/m expectedPrior +0.2%UK September Nationwide house prices...
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Switzerland September CPI +1.0% vs +1.0% y/y expected
Switzerland September CPI 0.0% vs 0.0% m/m expectedPrior +0.4%Switzerland September CPI +1.0% vs +1.0% y/y exp...
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Spain manufacturing returns to growth in September but price pressures build
Spain September manufacturing PMI 51.0 vs 50.1 expectedPrior 49.5Spain's manufacturing economy returned to gro...
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Italy September manufacturing PMI 50.4 vs 50.0 expected
Prior 49.6Key findings:Modest reductions in output and new orders Inflationary pressures intensify, but deteri...
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France manufacturing growth slows in September as price pressures build
France September final manufacturing PMI 50.6 vs 50.3 prelimPrior 51.1The breakdownThe final revision higher s...
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Eurozone September final manufacturing PMI 52.9 vs 52.7 prelim
Eurozone September final manufacturing PMI 52.9 vs 52.7 prelimPrior 52.7The breakdownMore to follow...What doe...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Yen weakens,Nikkei jumps
Oil executives expect WTI near $88 by year-end, below current prices, Dallas Fed survey showsICYMI: BOJ opinio...
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US sees China invasion of Taiwan unlikely before 2028, but trade and market risks remain
For years, 2027 has loomed over the Taiwan story as the point by which China wants its military to be capable...
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Trump announces $200 billion South Korean investment in US nuclear, LNG and gas power
This is a long-dated signal rather than an immediate shift in supply or demand, since reactors take years to b...
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Australia's August trade surplus shrinks to A$495M as data center equipment imports surge
A reading about A$1.5 billion below the poll is a clear miss for a surplus that had already been narrowing, an...
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Australia manufacturing PMI falls to 49.6 as new orders drop for first time since June
The drop from 52.0 to 49.6 points to softer factory momentum, with the fall in new orders the signal most like...
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Japan manufacturing PMI slips to 54.1, a six-month low, as new order growth slows
The reading is still well above the 50 line, so the story is slower growth rather than a downturn, but the dro...
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USDCHF is up for the 6th straight day and trading near the highest level since May 2025
The USDCHF is trading up 0.12% on the day, putting the pair on track for its sixth consecutive daily gain. The...
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The USDCAD reverses back higher after the sellers failed to take short term control
The USDCAD has been trending higher since bottoming on September 8. Over that stretch, the price has climbed f...
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Trump: US has almost total control of the Strait of Hormuz
Comments from US President Trump on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz:US has almost total control of the Strait of...
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Trump calls for Powell to resign over Fed renovation, asks attorney general to review report
In a TruthSocial post, Donald Trump is calling for Jerome Powell to resign from the Fed Board over alleged mi...
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What China's Golden Week closures mean for the yuan, futures and Asian liquidity
Hong Kong will trade on October 2, 5, 6 and 7 without Stock Connect flows in either direction, which may leave...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 30 Sept: Softer PCE fails to hold yields down; Dow ends September at June lows
Softer inflation gave markets some breathing room early Wednesday. But by the end of the session, Treasury yie...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed as yields ease and oil supply improves
The U.S. dollar is mixed to start the North American session on the final trading day of September and the thi...
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Germany September preliminary CPI +3.3% vs +3.1% y/y expected
Prior +2.9%HICP +3.3% vs +3.2% y/y expectedPrior +2.9%Core CPI Y/Y +2.4% vs +2.4% priorGermany's inflation rat...
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US ADP national employment +90K vs +70K expected
Prior was +38KConstruction +15KManufacturing +17KNatural resources and mining -1KFinancial activities -16KProf...
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US July core PCE 3.0% y/y vs 3.3% expected
Prior was 3.3%Headline y/y 3.4% vs 3.7% expected (3.7% prior)Headline m/m +0.3% vs +0.4% expected (+0.2% prior...
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US advance goods trade balance for August -$132.6 billion vs -$115.00 billion expected
Prior was -118.9 billionThe US international trade deficit in goods widened to $132.6 billion in August, up $1...
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US GDP Final for Q2 2.2% vs 1.5% estimate
Prior estimate 1.5% revised higher to 2.2%US Q2 GDP revised to 2.2% vs 1.5% expected; inflation measures softe...
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investingLive European session wrap: Equities retreat as oil rebounds and bond yields stay elevated
Headlines:European stocks slip back as oil and bond yields edge higher from session lowsGold extends the recov...
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German import prices jump 1.0% in August as cost pressures build
Germany August import prices +1.0% vs +0.7% m/m expectedPrior +0.2%Germany August import prices +8.3% vs +8.0%...
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French inflation jumps in September as HICP rises to 3.4%
France September preliminary CPI +3.0% vs +2.8% y/y expectedPrior +2.4%France September preliminary HICP +3.4%...
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German labour market softens in September as autumn pickup fails to kick into gear
Germany September unemployment change 12k vs 1k expectedPrior 4kGermany September unemployment rate 6.4% vs 6....
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German state CPI readings point to inflation climbing back above 3% in September
Well, the latest German state CPI readings are starting to paint a fairly clear picture ahead of the national...
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Italy September preliminary CPI +4.2% vs +3.8% y/y expected
Prior +3.3%HICP +4.1% vs +3.8% y/y expectedPrior +3.2%
This article was written by...
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Australian August Headline CPI 4% (vs. expected 4%, prior 3.5%)
I'll have details and implications posted separately. ADDED, here it is: Australian dollar marked lower on th...
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China official manufacturing PMI (September): 50.1 (expected 50.1, prior 49.8)
I'll have details and implications posted separately. Added, here that is:China official manufacturing PMI ret...
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China private survey manufacturing PMI (September) 52.1 (vs. expected 51.6, prior 51.5)
I'll have details and implications posted separately. Added, here it is:RatingDog China manufacturing PMI 52.1...
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Australia August CPI 4.0% as fuel jumps, trimmed mean below forecast at 0.2% m/m
The Australian dollar was lower after the data, as the softer-than-expected monthly trimmed mean reading was s...
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RatingDog China manufacturing PMI 52.1 tops forecast, services 51.6 also beats
Stronger readings from both surveys, ahead of a week-long Chinese holiday, give China-sensitive assets a suppo...
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China official manufacturing PMI returns to growth at 50.1, non-manufacturing 50.2
A return to growth in the official manufacturing survey, alongside a jump in the non-manufacturing index, give...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Yen, Nikkei firmer
Goldman: Persian Gulf oil exports back at 2025 average after doubling in SeptemberUSD/JPY slips to around 156....
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Heads up: Germany September CPI expected to show inflation back above 3%
German inflation will be one of the main economic data points to watch out for in European trading today, with...
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UK Q2 GDP revised higher to 0.5% q/q from 0.4%
UK Q2 final GDP +0.5% vs +0.4% q/q prelimPrior (Q1) +0.6%UK Q2 final GDP +1.4% vs +1.2% y/y prelimPrior (Q1) +...
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Germany August import prices +1.0% vs +0.7% m/m expected
Germany August import prices +1.0% vs +0.7% m/m expectedPrior +0.2%Germany August import prices +8.3% vs +8.0%...
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Germany retail sales rebound 1.3% in August after July slump
Germany August retail sales +1.3% vs +1.5% m/m expectedPrior -3.4%The breakdownThe rebound here is notable, ev...
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Japan August factory output falls 1.7% against forecast rise, retail sales slow
The industrial production miss and the softer retail print complicate the case for the Bank of Japan to move a...
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ANZ survey: NZ business confidence eases to +52 as oil rise hits late responses
For the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the key message is that inflation expectations did not move as oil prices...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: US 30-year yields hit the highest since 2002
JOLTS job openings 7.079M vs 7.225M estimateSept US consumer confidence 81.9 vs 89.2 expectedUS July CaseShill...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, September 30, 2026: 6 PMIs from China and CPI from Australia.
It's a packed data agenda during the Asian timezone today with Chinese data releases ahead of the week long ho...
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China PMIs preview: official manufacturing seen back above 50 before holiday
A move in the official manufacturing PMI back above 50 would be read as a modest positive for China-sensitive...
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Australia CPI preview: headline inflation seen at 4.0% after RBA hike
The Australian dollar is the most direct read-through. A print at or above forecast would strengthen the case...
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AUDUSD Technicals: The sellers remain in control in the AUDUSD despite the RBA rate hike
The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.60% today, as expected. The...
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USDCAD Technicals: The buyers continue to trend the USDCAD higher and higher
Last week’s question: Was the high in place?In last week’s video, I asked whether the USDCAD’s high was...
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US July CaseShiller 20-city house price index +2.5% vs 2.2% expected
Prior was +2.1%Monthly +0.3% vs +0.2% expectedPrior monthly +0.2%FHFA data:National prices +2.6% y/y vs +2.3%...
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Sept US consumer confidence 81.9 vs 89.2 expected
Prior was 89.4This is a terrible reading and reflects an increasingly dark mood regarding inflation and energy...
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JOLTS job openings 7.079M vs 7.225M estimate
Job openings: 7.079 million vs 7.225 million expected. July revised up to 7.335 million from 7.271 million.Job...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar gains against most majors despite the RBA rate hike
The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%overnight. The decision was unan...
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investingLive European news wrap: US-Iran talks keep markets tentatively optimistic
Headlines:Zcash remains supported by idiosyncratic catalysts, but macro headwinds limit further gains. What's...
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Oil prices dip as Trump backs potential Russia sanctions relief
Oil prices dipped briefly after The Atlantic reported that President Trump supports a plan to exchange the rel...
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Canada July GDP 0.0% vs 0.0% expected
Prior was +0.3% m/m (revised to +0.4%)August preliminary reading +0.2%July construction +1.3%Utilities +1.7%Ma...
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Spain inflation climbs to near 5%, the highest in over three years
Spain September preliminary CPI +4.9% vs +4.6% y/y expectedPrior +4.3%Spain September preliminary HICP +5.0% v...
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Euro area economic sentiment slips in September as inflation expectations rise
The latest euro area sentiment readings are out:Economic sentiment 97.9 vs 99.0 expected; Prior 98.4Industrial...
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Japan's Katayama says undervalued yen is problematic, agrees with Bessent on cooperation
The yen is the main read-through. Katayama's line that an undervalued yen is problematic, paired with her prom...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Asia stocks slip
Singapore to allocate US$1.1 billion to five asset managers to boost its equities marketJapan's Katayama says...
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UK shop price inflation slows to 1.4% in September as BRC urges business rates help
The BRC gauge is a narrow, backward-looking snapshot, so the market is likely to look past the small dip in sh...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Tuesday, September 29, 2026: RBA rate hike expected
A relatively quiet calendar but we do have an expected Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike. I'll get a preview...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Oil prices bounce around on Iran headlines, yields rise
Trump: We will win the Iran war very soon and gas prices will come tumbling downTrump prepared to ease sanctio...
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Trump set to speak in the Oval Office
Trump will make an announcement in the Oval Office today. The scheduled time is 2 pm ET but White House events...
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Trump: We will win the Iran war very soon and gas prices will come tumbling down
Had a very respectful meeting with China's XiIt's hard to take anything Trump says about Iran seriously....
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September Dallas Fed manufacturing business index 9.8 vs 11.6 prior
Prior was 11.6New orders 30.7 vs 22.0 priorShipments 24.8 vs 14.1 priorEmployment 15.1 vs 8.0 priorCapex 8.5 v...
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Iran foreign minister's stay in NY has not been extended
Irib reports -- and it was confirmed by an Iranian spokesman -- that Aragchi's New York stay has not been exte...
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Trump prepared to ease sanctions and release frozen funds for nuclear progress - report
Perhaps diplomacy isn't dead. Al Jazeera reports that diplomacy is continuing, citing a US official, and that...
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Oil falls on reports of renewed US-Iran talks focused on amended version of Iran's seven-day proposal
Diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran could resume as early as Monday or Tuesday, with mediators expected...
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Best Broker or Prop Firm? Vote in the Finance Magnates Awards 2026
Which broker or prop firm gets your vote?The Finance Magnates Awards 2026 voting is now live, giving traders t...
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investingLive European session wrap: Higher yields hit gold as oil rallies and tech futures fall
Headlines:Gold price breaks below $4,200 as surging Treasury yields deepen the technical damageGold collapses...
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Japanese yen jumps as top currency diplomat Mimura reiterates strong currency alliance with the US
Japan is maintaining a close watch on the yen, with its top currency diplomat, Mimura, reiterating that author...
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US jobs report could decide how much higher Treasury yields can go
It's only Monday but it feels like markets already have plenty to digest this week.Geopolitical tensions remai...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Gold hit hard, under $4200 again
Nikkei gives up early gains as Nasdaq futures slip before Micron earningsTreasury's $202 billion settlement is...
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China and U.S. to set up Trade Council and extend trade truce to January 2027
An extended truce lowers the risk of a tariff flare-up in the near term, which tends to support risk sentiment...
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China industrial profits rise 4.2% in August, weakest monthly gain this year
The slowdown in August puts the focus back on how much support Beijing will offer to protect corporate earning...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Iran hopes spring eternal
Trump will meet with Xi again in NovemberXi: US-China relationship will be one of strategic stability based on...
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Trump will meet with Xi again in November
Trump says he will meet with Xi again in November and then again at the G20 in DDecember in Miami. Trump said...
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Xi: US-China relationship will be one of strategic stability based on respect, fairness and reciprocity
Xi:Agreed with Trump to add new substance to US-China relationshipTrump on China: We've made tremendous stride...
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Tehran describes talks atmosphere as increasingly positive - report
Al Jazeera's bureau chief in Tehran, Nourddine Dgheir, citing sources in the city, says the atmosphere around...
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Morning Kickstart: Yen jumps as USDJPY breaks 158.00 and oil slides
The yen is the standout currency this morning. The U.S. dollar is down 0.77% against the JPY, with USDJPY trad...
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AUDUSD breaks below the 200 day MA for the first time since November 2025, but cannot sustain downside momentum
The AUDUSD has fallen sharply this week as buying of the US dollar took center stage. Fed officials struck a t...
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US August durable goods orders 0.0% vs -0.4% expected
Prior was +1.1%Ex-transport +0.3% vs +0.6% expectedPrior ex-transport +0.4%Ex-defense +0.1% vs +1.3% priorNon-...
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USTR's Greer: We have reached agreements with China on a sub-set of goods we can trade
Speaking on CNBC, Greer said the US will release on Monday the details of negotiations between China and the U...
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September final UMich consumer sentiment 48.1 vs 47.6 expected
Prelim was 47.8Prior was 51.7Current conditions 50.9 vs 50.9 prelim (51.9 prior)Expectations 46.3 vs 45.8 prel...
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investingLive European session wrap: Yen jumps, oil slides as bond risks linger
Headlines:USD/JPY falls below 158.00 as Takaichi says Trump flagged weak yen pressureCrude oil falls on report...
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This Nasdaq 100 technical analysis slightly favors the bears for today
Nasdaq 100 rebound hits resistance: Is a retest lower still ahead?The Nasdaq 100 has climbed strongly from its...
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Spain Q2 GDP confirmed at 0.7% as domestic demand keeps growth resilient
Spain Q2 final GDP +0.7% vs +0.7% q/q expectedPrior +0.6%The breakdownThe final estimate confirms that the Spa...
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US Treasury yields continue to break higher - is 6% now in play?
The selloff in the bond market isn't showing much sign of letting up.10-year Treasury yields have pushed up t...
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Trump-Xi summit extends the trade truce but leaves the biggest market questions unresolved
And so the Trump-Xi summit this week delivered what markets probably needed most. That being no fresh escalat...
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German consumer climate darkens ahead of October as higher energy costs bite
Germany October GfK consumer climate -30.6 vs -27.4 expectedPrior -26.6; revised to -26.8The breakdownThat is...
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Recession signal flashes on Oxford Economics' US indicator, but spending shows no sign of cracking
A recession signal against a backdrop of strong data makes it a useful counterpoint for bond markets. It gives...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Iran offers seven-day Hormuz dea
Nikkei gains 1.2% as chip stocks and dividend buying lift Tokyo, SoftBank slips on OracleGoldman stays bullish...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 24 Sept: USD and Treasury yields climb as Iran headlines lift stocks off their lows
US stocks finish mixed as Meta’s Muse rally helps mask the losers.Iran’s Pezeshkian wants a deal with the...
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Trump and Xi buy two more months of trade truce, leaving tariffs and rare earths in limbo
A two-month extension avoids a November tariff cliff, but it gives markets no lasting relief, and the January...
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China shuts for Mid-Autumn Festival holiday today, a preview of the week-long National Day gap to come
AUD is the most exposed of the major currencies. It usually trades partly as a proxy for China, and with onsho...
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USDCAD moves up to topside swing area resistance and finds willing sellers
In this post yesterday, I showed a chart and outlined a key target. I commented in the post:The next upside...
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Iran’s Pezeshkian wants a deal with the US before the midterm elections, NBC reports
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian spoke briefly with NBC News and other news organizations on the sidelines...
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US/Iran discussed phasing in a deal to reopen Hormuz and end the US blockade
Reuters, citing sources, reports on discussions over a phased arrangement between Washington and Tehran:
Gulf...
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US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 5.085%
WI level at the time of the auction: 5.078%
High yield: 5.085%
Tail: 0.7 basis points vs the average of 0.2 b...
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USDCHF runs to the highest level since May 2025
The Swiss National Bank left its policy rate unchanged at 0%, as expected. It raised its inflation forecasts s...
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US new-home sales for the month of August 0.684 million versus 0.615 million estimate
Prior month 0.643 million revised from 0.607 millionAugust new home sales beat expectations, according to figu...
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Trump and Xi meet at the White House: What traders should watch
President Donald Trump is hosting Chinese President Xi Jinping at the White House during Xi’s three-day U.S....
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar rises as global bond yields pressure stocks ahead of Trump–Xi talks
The bond market remains a central story for traders this morning. The U.S. 10-year yield is at 5.1226%, near i...
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investingLive European session wrap: Higher oil prices, bond yields continue to pressure markets
Headlines:Brent crude above $100 and 10-year Treasury yields above 5% give markets a double testSNB leaves pol...
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US initial jobless claims 197K vs 201K expected
Prior was 196K (revised to 198K)Continuing claims 1719K vs 1745K expectedPrior was 1730K (revised to 1717K)US...
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Canada retail sales for the month of July -0.7% vs -0.8% estimate
Prior month 0.6%The advanced August reading comes in at 1.3%Details from Statistics Canada: Retail sales:−0...
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France confidence stays weak in September as inflation pressures cloud the outlook
The latest business and household confidence data released today:France September consumer confidence 86 vs 85...
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Germany business sentiment improves further in September despite price concerns - Ifo
Germany September Ifo business climate index 89.9 vs 89.1 expectedPrior 88.8Germany September Ifo business exp...
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How to trade Nasdaq today: Three areas worth watching while you wait for opportunity
The Patient NQ Futures Trader Today | September 24, 2026 | NQ December 2026If I were watching Nasdaq futures t...
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Brent crude above $100 and 10-year Treasury yields above 5% give markets a double test
This week has basically revolved around two questions for broader markets. The first being can oil prices keep...
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France September consumer confidence 86 vs 85 expected
The latest business and household confidence data released today:France September consumer confidence 86 vs 85...
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Japan flash PMI: growth slows to four-month low as price pressures stay intense
Sticky price pressures and the strongest hiring since February keep the inflation side of the Bank of Japan's...
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Heads up: China markets shut Friday for Mid-Autumn Festival, with week-long Golden Week break ahead
With mainland markets and Stock Connect shut on the final day of the Trump-Xi summit, Hong Kong equities and t...
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Australian jobs data for August 2026. Unemployment rate 4.6% (expected 4.5%, prior 4.5%)
Australian Employment Change 39.5Kexpected 20K, prior -15.8KFull Time Employment Change -6.3Kprior 6.3KPart-Ti...
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AUD little changed: Australia jobless rate hits 4.6%, highest since 2021, participation outpaces jobs beat
The muted reaction in AUD/USD reflects a report that offers something for both sides: headline hiring was stro...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Xi lands for Trump summit
From 500 jets to salvage mode: Boeing's China hopes shrink ahead of summitGoogle readies Gemini 4 launch as it...
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US and China extend Busan trade truce to January 10 as Xi arrives for Trump summit
The extension removes a near-term cliff risk for Asian assets, with the truce otherwise due to expire in Novem...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Thursday, September 24, 2026: Australian jobs report
Previews of the Australian jobs data are here:Australia jobs preview: CBA sees 15,000 gain, unemployment stead...
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Australia jobs preview: NAB leans to 4.4% unemployment on 20k gain in a close call
A dip to 4.4% would reinforce the view that Australia's labour market remains tight relative to RBA projection...
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AUD is the biggest mover vs the USD at -1.02%. What next technically?
The AUDUSD traded up and down yesterday but spent most of the session below its 100-hour moving average. That...
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US yields move to multi year highs as the wall of worry is growing.
US Treasury yields are trading at highs across the curve. The 10-year yield is above 5.09%, and the 30-year is...
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US treasury sells $70 billion of 5 year notes at a high yield of 5.033%
The Treasury sold $70 billion of five-year notes at a high yield of 5.033%, compared with a when-issued (WI) y...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Strong US services PMI leads to a big breakdown in bonds
US September S&P Global flash services PMI 58.7 vs 56.0 expectedUS treasury sells $70 billion of 5 year notes...
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US dollar rises as Treasury yields climb and Fed hike odds increase
The US dollar is moving higher against the major currencies as Treasury yields rise. The fundamental story sta...
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Iranian president says Iran is open to diplomacy but will defend its interests in Hormuz
It is Iran's turn at the UN with Iran Pres. Pezeshkian taking the stage today. Note that US officials walked o...
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Iranian official says reopening the Strait of Hormuz was discussed in U.S. talks
A senior Iranian official told Reuters about Tuesday’s indirect talks with the United States:
Reopening the...
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Morning Kickstart: Dollar rises across the board as stocks retreat
The U.S. dollar is higher against all seven major currencies as the North American session approaches. The big...
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USDCAD buyers remain in control as the pair breaks above August highs
A series of breaks has kept buyers in controlUSDCAD has climbed from 1.3758 on September 8 to a high of 1.4094...
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US September S&P Global flash services PMI 58.7 vs 56.0 expected
Prior was 56.8Manufacturing 57.0 vs 53.6 expPrior manufacturing 53.2Composite 58.4 vs 56.0 priorEmployment gro...
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investingLive European session wrap: Brent crude retakes $100 as dollar rises, yields climb and stocks slip
Headlines:Oil slips below $100 as US-Iran talks put crude prices and Treasury yields at a crossroadsThe sellof...
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UK September flash services PMI 51.7 vs 52.0 expected
Prior 52.5Manufacturing PMI 52.0 vs 51.5 expectedPrior 51.7Composite PMI 51.7 vs 52.0 expectedPrior 52.5Commen...
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Eurozone PMI jumps as services surge, price pressures keep ECB October rate hike in play
Eurozone September flash services PMI 53.0 vs 51.5 expectedPrior 51.6Eurozone September flash manufacturing PM...
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Euro area PMIs put inflation pressures and the ECB rate path in focus
We will be getting the preliminary PMI data for September for France, Germany, and the overall Eurozone later...
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France PMI jumps back into expansion in September but inflation pressures complicate the ECB outlook
France September flash services PMI 51.4 vs 48.3 expectedPrior 48.0France September flash manufacturing PMI 50...
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Germany September flash manufacturing PMI 53.8 vs 54.0 expected
Prior 54.3Services PMI 52.9 vs 50.0 expectedPrior 49.7Composite PMI 53.8 vs 51.8 expectedPrior 51.8Comment:Phi...
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ADB holds China growth forecast at 4.6%, cuts inflation view as demand softens
A China inflation forecast below 1% for both this year and next underlines how little price pressure the world...
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Australia jobs preview: employment seen rebounding in August, jobless rate at 4.5%
The data land days before the Reserve Bank of Australia's 29 September meeting, where a rate increase is widel...
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Australia jobs preview: CBA sees 15,000 gain, unemployment steady at 4.5%
With CBA below consensus and Westpac above it, the major banks bracket the market's 20,000 forecast, so a resu...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil slips as US and Iran hold Qatar-mediated talks
Australia jobs preview: CBA sees 15,000 gain, unemployment steady at 4.5%Morgan Stanley prefers Nokia as it tu...
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ECB says China's industrial rise is squeezing German manufacturers out of global markets
The findings reinforce the structural case against Germany's export-heavy industrial base, a headwind for auto...
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Australia flash PMI: growth slows to Q3 low as factories contract and firms cut jobs
The survey hands the RBA a mixed signal days before its 29 September decision: softer demand and job cuts argu...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: US and Iran officials meet at UN
Recap: US and Iran meet in New York on UNGA sidelines, Hormuz conditions on the tableTrump and Bessent talk ab...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, September 23, 2026: Australian flash PMIs
Australia flash PMIs preview: September data arrive days before an expected RBA hike.Australia's preliminary S...
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US treasury sells $69 billion of two-year notes at a high yield of 4.787%
High yield of 4.787%WI level at the time of the auction 4.785%Tail 0.2 basis points versus average of 0.1 ba...
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Morning Kickstart: Oil falls as Saudi pipeline restarts; USD gives back early gains.
The U.S. dollar is mixed as North American traders arrive. It spiked higher across the board during the Europe...
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investingLive European FX news wrap: Oil prices extend losses as Iran offers to reopen Hormuz, Saudi Arabia prepares to resume oil exports
Headlines:Fars news denies reports of Iran ready to reopen Strait of Hormuz if the US eases blockadeOil prices...
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Fars News denies reports of Iran ready to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US eases blockade
Reports of potential negotiations between Iran and the US and the possibility of the Strait of Hormuz reopenin...
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Philly Fed nonmanufacturing survey -22.0 vs -10.6 prior
Regional activity -22.0 vs -10.6 prior (lowest since June)New orders -2.2 vs -10.1 priorSales/revenues 6.8 vs...
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EU Consumer Confidence (flash) for September -16.5 vs -16.0 estimate
Prior -15.5 last month.Euro area flash consumer confidence: -16.5 vs -16.0 expected. Prior -15.5.EU flash cons...
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US September Richmond composite index -2 vs +4 prior
Services index 0 vs -8 priorComposite index -2 vs +4 priorManufacturing shipments -5 vs +11 priorThis is a mix...
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Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz within seven days if US eases blockade
Iran has offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the United States takes steps to ease mil...
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Oil prices extend decline as Saudi Arabia restarts East-West pipeline, prepares to resume crude exports
Saudi Arabia is preparing to resume crude oil exports from the Red Sea port of Yanbu as early as Tuesday, acco...
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10-year Treasury yields stay near 5%, what would trigger the next break higher?
After all the hype and talk about the Fed, somehow stocks are finding some breathing room again.The Nasdaq cl...
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Low expectations set for Trump-Xi meeting as trade truce set to be extended
With both sides signalling modest ambitions, markets are unlikely to see a major trade breakthrough from this...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Central bankers flag inflation risks
RBA's Bullock says supply shocks hard for policy to manage, flags second round riskLow expectations set for Tr...
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Australian state slaps tight restrictions on data centers: 150 metre buffer, self power, water curbs
The rules add a fresh layer of regulatory cost and complexity for data centre developers operating in Victoria...
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Trump proposes USD 5 billion fund to help rebuild Gulf energy sites — WSJ
The Trump administration’s proposal was reported by the Wall Street Journal, citing U.S. and Middle Eastern...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 21 Sept: Nasdaq closes at a record,oil slides, Fed officials discuss more hikes
Fed's Collins pencils in second hike this year, then expects rates on hold in 2027Nasdaq Composite closes at a...
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Bank of Canada’s Macklem: US tariffs could roughly halve fourth-quarter growth to below 1%
Comments from Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem cross the wires:
If new US tariffs remain in place, Q4 grow...
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Expect the News Headlines from Trump and the administration to be fast and furious going into the elections
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hit the news circuit today and followed up with a post on X touting economic...
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Morning Kickstart: Oil slides as Middle East supply fears ease and risk appetite improves
The new trading week is starting with a more positive tone in the broader markets. U.S. stock futures are shar...
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USDCAD buyers get a second shot as 1.4000 support comes into focus
USDCAD moved to its highest level since August 8 in trading today, reaching 1.4023. That was the good news for...
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USDCHF buyers and sellers battle between key support and the 100-hour moving average
USDCHF moved sharply higher last week following the FOMC rate decision, with the rally taking the pair above s...
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investingLive European session wrap: Oil extends fall, Bitcoin jumps to highest since January
Headlines:Crude oil falls on de-escalation hopes as focus shifts to the US General Assembly. What's next?Brent...
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Yemen President spoke to Trump but Trump made no pledge of military support
Reuters -- citing two sources -- reports that Yemen's President spoke to US President Donald Trump on Sunday....
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China’s fifth plenum set for October 26-29 as markets watch for economic signals
According to Xinhua news agency, China has now put a firm date on its next major political gathering.The fifth...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil gapped higher at open but soon fell
Trump flips twice on Houthi airstrikes after call with Saudi crown princeICYMI: JPMorgan says Middle East oil...
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China holds its ground as markets eye trade truce ahead of Trump-Xi summit
US president Trump and China president Xi will be meeting in Washington on 24 September this week. And from a...
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Bessent calls US-China talks very successful, Board of Trade operational ahead of summit
The tone is constructive, but the reported outcomes are procedural and no tariff rates or purchase volumes hav...
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Oil finishes lower as the market sniffs out a TACO
WTI crude oil on the November contract is trading down $1.64 to $95.60.That's something of a win for the bears...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Bonds slump again, yen rate check adds intrigue after BOJ
US industrial production 0.0% versus 0.3% expectedKansas City Fed's Schmid: recent data suggest inflation tren...
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NA Morning TGIF Kickstart Video: USDJPY surges as the BOJ hike disappoints yen buyers
The dollar is mostly higher as the yen tumbles after dovish rate hike.The U.S. dollar is mostly higher as Nort...
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Gold Tests Crucial Technical Confluence. What Must Buyers and Sellers Do Next?
Gold is locked in a classic technical battle as buyers and sellers test key levels defined by short-term and d...
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investingLive European session wrap: Yen slides after BOJ hike as markets stay on edge
Headlines:USD/JPY jumps to 157 after BOJ rate hike as dovish dissents weigh on yenBOJ governor Ueda says will...
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US industrial production 0.0% versus 0.3% expected
Prior month 0.2%US August industrial production and capacity utilization data:Industrial production MoM: 0.0%...
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UK retail sales unexpectedly rise in August, backed by recovery in department stores, non-store retailers
UK August retail sales +0.5% vs -0.2% m/m expectedPrior -0.5%UK August retail sales +2.4% vs +1.9% y/y expecte...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: BoJ hike and RBA hawkish tilt
Yen weakens on BoJ hike as two dissents temper hawkish read Alt headlines:Bank of Japan (BOJ) raises policy r...
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New Zealand data, food price inflation in August same as in July
New Zealand August data. Trade Balance -1349mn
Expected -1775mn, Prior -2118mnAnnual Trade Balance -5.44bnIm...
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Japan August inflation: Headline CPI 1.9% y/y (expected 2%)
Just the data here, I'll have more to come on this separately.August y/y headline CPI 1.9%expected 2.0%, prior...
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AUDUSD rebounds after buyers defend the 100-day moving average
The AUDUSD moved sharply lower following yesterday’s FOMC rate decision, but the selling momentum started to...
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A view on inflation is increasingly important
The Fed has set out to tackle inflation and they certainly have the tools to get the job done. How aggressivel...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 17 Sept
US September Philly Fed business index +37.8 vs +30.5 expectedUS August housing starts 1.275m vs 1.309m expect...
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Trump says he faces a “big decision” on whether to launch new attacks on Iran
US President Trump told Axios he is at a “critical juncture” regarding the war in Iran:The officials say T...
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USDCAD breaks higher after the Fed. Can buyers hold the breakout? Or will sellers take back control?
The USDCAD has moved higher following the FOMC rate decision, breaking above a cluster of important technical...
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US August pending home sales +0.3% vs -0.6% expected
Prior was -2.3%Index at vs 71.2 prior
This article was written by Adam Button at i...
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U.S. dollar mixed as markets digest the day after the Fed hike and today's BOE decision
Good morning and welcome to the Morning Kickstart post and video for the North American session.The U.S. dolla...
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investingLive European session wrap: Markets rise as oil and bond yields ease after Fed, BOE holds rates
Headlines:BOE leaves bank rate unchanged at 3.75% in 6-3 voteLong-end Treasury yields stay calm as markets dig...
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China privately asks Iran to help rein in Houthis after Saudi appeal, sources say
China has privately asked Iran to use its influence over Yemen's Houthis to help contain the group's military...
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US September Philly Fed business index +37.8 vs +30.5 expected
Prior was +47.4Details:New orders 29.2 versus 30.1 last monthShipments 27.7 versus 27.7 last monthUnfilled ord...
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US August housing starts 1.275m vs 1.309m expected
Prior was 1.239mPrior starts were -12.4%Building permits 1.394m vs 1.410m expectedPrior permits 1.433mUS housi...
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Canada August producer price index +1.3% m/m vs +0.6% prior
Prior was +0.6%Prices % y/y vs +12.4% prior
This article was written by Adam Butto...
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US initial jobless claims come in at 196K vs 208K estimate
US jobless claims for the week ending September 12:Initial jobless claims: 196K vs 208K expected. Prior 206KFo...
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Euro area inflation nudges up in August to 3.2% as energy prices jump
Eurozone August final CPI +3.2% vs +3.3% y/y expectedPrior +2.9%Eurozone August final core CPI +2.4% vs +2.4%...
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Trump reaches for tariffs again as EU opens door to Canada 'associate membership'
After the EU talked about pulling Canada closer to its orbit yesterday, it was only a matter of time before we...
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Long-end Treasury yields stay calm as markets digest the Fed
There are plenty of ways to pick apart the market reaction to the Fed, but I think the one that matters most r...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Fed hike fallout dominates
Nikkei, Kospi gain as expected Fed hike and lower oil ease market nervesTD forecast a Federal Reserve (FOMC) r...
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Xi-Trump summit set for September 24, but Taiwan arms sale threat looms over it
A cancelled or downgraded summit would likely revive the trade friction narrative that had eased since the two...
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New Zealand dollar pops a little on better than expected GDP data
New Zealand Q2 GDP +2.6% y/yexpected +2.3%, prior +1.7%+0.2% q/qexpected +0.1%, prior +0.9%I'll have more to c...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Fed hikes rates for the first time in three years
Fed's Warsh: The economy appears to be strengtheningFed dot plot signals another 2026 rate hike as growth stre...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Thursday, September 17, 2026. FOMC done, moving on!
You know the people who think they are cool 'cause they have contrarian "hot takes" (after the event, of cours...
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New Zealand Q2 GDP preview as RBNZ weighs timing of its next rate hike
NZD/USD reaction is likely to hinge less on the more upbeat bank forecasts and more on how far the actual prin...
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The technical levels in play for the EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD and USDCAD following the Fed hike
The US dollar moved sharply higher following the FOMC decision, sending EURUSD and GBPUSD lower while lifting...
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USDCAD breaks above a key confluence area. Can buyers stay above it through the FOMC decision today?
The USDCAD has continued its move to the upside and has broken above a key confluence area that should help de...
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AUDUSD holds key support ahead of the FOMC. What must buyers and sellers do next?
The AUDUSD is trading lower this week after breaking below a rising trendline, but sellers have not yet been a...
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NAHB Housing market index for September 32 vs 34 estimate
Prior month 35US homebuilder confidence weakened more than expected in September:NAHB Housing Market Index: 32...
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US July business inventories +0.8% vs +0.3% expected
Prior was 0.0%Retail inventories vs -0.5% priorThis is a low-tier indicator but it's an important one for GDP...
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Morning Kickstart: Fed rate decision takes center stage. What are the technicals telling traders in the 3 key forex pairs?
The USD is mixed and little changed to start the North American session. That is not all that surprising, as t...
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US and Houthis held secret Oman talks over the weekend as Yemen conflict escalates
US officials held talks with Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis in Oman over the weekend, according to five sources...
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investingLive European markets wrap: Oil prices, bond yields ease slightly ahead of Fed decision
Headlines:FOMC preview: The question is not whether the Fed hikes today, but how much tightening it signalsFed...
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US August advance retail sales +1.2% vs +0.8% expected
Prior was -0.6% (revised to -0.5%)Ex autos +1.4% vs +0.5% expectedPrior ex-autos -0.3% (revised to -0.2%)Retai...
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Canada Building permits for the month of July -17.3 vs -6.4% estimate
Prior month +18.3% revised to 18.5%Canada’s July building permits:Building permits MoM: -17.3% vs -6.4% expe...
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US import and export prices are August 0.7% vs 0.4%. Export prices 0.6% vs 0.5% est.
Prior month import prices -0.3% revised from -0.4%Prior month export prices -1.4%US import and export prices f...
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Canada could become the first 'associate member' of the EU, says EU chief von der Leyen
This is a rather bold proposal coming from European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, in her her an...
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UK CPI preview: Inflation test lands just before the BOE rate decision
The UK inflation report for August today is going to be the main highlight in terms of economic data releases...
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UK headline inflation tops 3% again in August, but core prices remain steady
UK August CPI +3.1% vs +3.1% y/y expectedPrior +2.9%UK August core CPI +2.6% vs +2.6% y/y expectedPrior +2.6%T...
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Ethereum retests broken resistance near $2,470 as exchange supply keeps shrinking
What the ETH/USD chart is showingPositng this in light of the fresh news for ether:Staking and ETFs drain ethe...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil steady, crypto weighed
OpenAI in talks for funding round above $1.2 trillion valuationEthereum retests broken resistance near $2,470...
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Japan trade deficit widens as machinery orders unexpectedly fall
The soft machinery orders print undercuts the case for near term Bank of Japan tightening, as a weaker leading...
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Australia: Westpac leading index signals softer but improving growth as RBA holds firm
The improved but still below-trend reading gives the Reserve Bank some room to hold at its September meeting w...
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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Rising oil overshadows the Fed decision
Explosions heard in Saudi ArabiaCanadians continued to spend through August - RBC spending tracker showsUS 20-...
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Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Busy, bit non-impactful.
I think we can all agree it's a wating day for the FOMC.The Fed battleground is no longer Wednesday's meeting,...
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Washington seeks cap on foreign parts in AI chips and servers
The core of the US proposal is a hard cap on how much of an AI server, chip or related piece of hardware can b...
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USDCAD tests a key resistance cluster and found sellers Can buyers push through?
USDCAD has moved sharply higher from last week’s lows, but the rally has now reached an important technical...
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Morning Kickstart: USD higher as markets await tomorrow’s expected Fed rate hike
The US dollar is higher against all the major currencies in early North American trading. The greenback has it...
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investingLive European news wrap: Crypto markets sink ahead of Clarity Act vote
Headlines:USD/INR erases all RBI intervention gains as surging oil prices weigh on the Indian RupeeOil remains...
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US ADP weekly employment estimate rises to 16,250 vs 12,000 expected
U.S. ADP NER Pulse for the four weeks ending August 29:Weekly private employment change: +16,250 vs +12,000 ex...
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September US Empire Fed manufacturing +7.6 vs +15.0 expected
Prior was +20.6New orders +2.0 vs +17.3 priorPrices paid +63.1 vs +58.6 priorEmployment +10.6 vs +9.3 priorSix...
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Canada wholesale trade for the month of July 0.3% versus -0.5% estimate
Canada’s July wholesale trade:Wholesale sales MoM: +0.3% vs -0.5% expected. Prior +2.8%Wholesale sales YoY:...
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Carney: Canada to allow immediate expensing for most new capital investment
The Canadain dollar is down for the fifth consecutive day as USD rises across the board on an expected Fed rat...
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UK labour market cools further as payrolls fall and wage growth slows
The key details:July ILO unemployment rate 4.9% vs 5.0% expectedPrior 4.9%July employment change 67k vs 67k ex...
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German investor morale continues to rise in September but less than expected - ZEW survey
Germany September ZEW survey current conditions -47.1 vs -52.1 expectedPrior -61.1Germany September ZEW survey...
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10-year Treasury yields hit 5.02% as bond market sends a warning ahead of the Fed
If there's one thing to note from the way we are starting off the week, it is that the bond market isn't wait...
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Gold retests breakout support near $4,250 after pullback from August high. What to watch.
What the XAUUSD chart is showingGold's pullback from its August high has come straight back down to retest the...
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China home prices keep falling in August as property slump drags on
The modest easing in the annual rate of decline, from a 3.2% drop in July to 3.0% in August, is unlikely to sh...
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China August retail sales +0.4% y/y (expected +0.6%)
I'll be back with details and implications soon. Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) (YoY) (Aug) -7.2%expected -7.2%...
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China's factories outperform as consumption and investment lag behind
The data reinforces a now familiar pattern in China's recovery: export-facing industry holding up while domest...
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AUDUSD and NZDUSD rebound after sellers fail to sustain key technical breaks
The commodity currencies are showing similar price action, with both the NZDUSD and AUDUSD rebounding after se...
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Economic & event calendar Asia Tuesday, September 15, 2026: China set to report August activity
China's National Bureau of Statistics is due to release August industrial production, retail sales and fixed a...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 14 Sept: It’s a Wrap: Oil tops $100 as higher yields and AI worries pressure stocks
AI and chip stocks tumble as weekend warnings challenge the sector’s growth assumptionsTrump: AI will be the...
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USDJPY buyers had their shot today—and ran into the targeted resistance.
USDJPY buyers had their shot—and ran into the targeted resistance.In the morning video, I outlined the falli...
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Trump: Military conflict with Iran "will not be long"
I'm starting to get the sense that Trump saw some bad polls this morning.I hope everyone realizes that price i...
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US seeks “step-by-step” agreement with Iran citing Pakistani sources
Headline news is helping to push oil back down. Below is some of those headlines:
The US is seeking a “s...
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Risk trades steadily rebound on Trump's talk about AI and energy
There has been a steady improvement in the mood in risk markets today and stocks are now at sessions highs, th...
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Trump: AI will be the greatest economic development engine in history
US President Donald Trump posted the following comments on artificial intelligence:
Says AI and data centers w...
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Morning Kickstart: Central-bank week begins with the USD higher and stocks under pressure
Good morning and welcome to the Morning Kickstart post and video for the North American session on Monday, Sep...
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Crude oil Analysis: Technicals and the fundamentals are in synch. Move higher nears $105
Middle East tensions remain fundamentally bullish for oil.Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline could remain lar...
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India's inflation rises further to 4.82% in August, reinforcing rate hike expectations
India's retail inflation accelerated further in August, with headline CPI inflation rising to 4.82% y/y, up fr...
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How have interest rate expectations changed after last week's events?
Rate hikes by year-endBoE: 51 bps (57% probability of no change at the next meeting)2027: 111 bpsFed: 50 bps (...
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investingLive European markets wrap: Oil surges, Fed rate hike bets rise as AI fears hit stocks
Headlines:Fed rate hike bets surge as Wall Street analysts converge on September moveOil prices climb again as...
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Canada August CPI 3.0% y/y vs 3.0% expected
Prior was 3.0%CPY -0.1% m/m vs 0.0% expectedBOC core 2.4% y/y vs 2.3% BOC core +0.1% m/m vs 0.2%CPI median 2....
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Saudi east-west pipeline will be out of service for 3-5 weeks - report
The big question in energy markets this week is how long it will take to restore flows through the Saudi east-...
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Trump: The only guradrail that AI needs is a high IQ President
Trump won't be swayed by talk of AI doom.He writes:The only control or “guardrails” that AI needs is a STR...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil holds gap higher
The heads of US frontier AI labs are terrified of ChinaAnthropic, OpenAI and Google held talks on AI safety bo...
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Carney explores Canada as EU associate member, WSJ reports
This is a longer horizon structural story rather than an immediate market mover, but it speaks to the ongoing...
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Anthropic, OpenAI and Google held talks on AI safety body, report says
The report adds substance behind the wave of public safety commentary from AI industry leaders that surfaced o...
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NZ services sector expands for third month as PSI rises to 51.2
The data adds to a modest but building case that New Zealand's services sector is stabilising, which matters f...
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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 11 Sept: US CPI raises odds for Fed rate hike
US stocks rebound sharply, but major indices still close lower for the weekBitcoin sellers regain the short-te...
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USDCAD Technicals: USDCAD extends higher but stalls at key trendline resistance
As the trading week moves to a close, the USDCAD is moving higher in trading today, extending the week’s tra...
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US August Federal budget deficit $167 billion vs $404 billion expected
The $432 billion deficit last month was near a monthly record but it seems as though much of that spending was...
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Forex Kickstart: USD mixed as markets await the US CPI report
The US dollar is mixed to start the North American session, with the greenback higher versus the EUR, GBP, CHF...
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Reaction: Markets rebound after the initial reactions are reversed. .
The US CPI did not dissuade the market from a Fed policy change. In fact, it increased the expectations at le...
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US August CPI 3.4% vs 3.4% expected
Prior was 3.4%Unrounded +3.397% vs +3.365% priorCPI m/m +0.4% vs +0.4% expPrior CPI was +0.1%Unrounded CPI m/m...
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Back up the garbage truck: A look at how AI will impact margins in AI
I'm increasingly conviced that the trade in AI is no longer the model makers or the vendors, but at the user l...
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Some anniversaries aren’t meant to be celebrated. They are simply remembered and never forgotten.
Today is an anniversary.Anniversaries are often days of celebration. They are also days of remembrance. Today...
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UMich September consumer sentiment 47.8 vs 51.0 expected
Priorwas 51.0Current conditions 50.9 vs 51.3 expExpectations 45.8 vs 50.5 expOne-year inflation 4.6% vs 4.0% e...
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investingLive European news wrap: The calm before the storm?
Headlines:Gold falls back into the major $4300 support ahead of US CPI, as surging oil prices increase rate hi...
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Iran gains stronger leverage as oil surges above $100, forcing urgent diplomatic solutions
Oil prices have surged above $100 a barrel this week as the market started to price in a prolonged disruption...
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What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?
The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from t...
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Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis have completed the takeover of Bab el-Mandeb Strait
Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis have completed the takeover of Bab el-Mandeb Strait after capturing strategic poi...
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UK July monthly GDP +0.4% vs 0.0% m/m expected
Prior +0.3%GDP Y/Y +1.6% vs +1.0% expectedPrior +1.1%Full report hereThe UK economy maintained its recent pace...
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Japan wholesale inflation stays hot in August, cements case for BOJ hike
August's corporate goods price index reinforces what markets had already priced in, that the Bank of Japan is...
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investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil holds near highs
BOJ hike next week is a given, the real question is pace and terminal rateHouthis claim total control of Bab e...
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NZ manufacturing growth slows in August but stays above long-term average
The August reading confirms New Zealand's manufacturing sector is still growing, but the pace is clearly moder...
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